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01-22-2003, 09:14 PM
With that rotatation the pen will get ALOT of work. Maybe they could bring back Larussa's 3IP rotation.
See you gotta listen the the little man." - Kramer Learn about Autism at AutismSpeaks.org or at Cure Autism Now |
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(#3)
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01-22-2003, 09:55 PM
Wow. That bullpen is starting to look fairly impressive. It would be even more so if they still had Biddle and/or Osuna.
Support your local brewery. Check out my Indians blog at Tribe Ball. Follow me on Twitter. |
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01-23-2003, 02:57 PM
Thinking out loud here, I was wondering who is my favorite in the AL Central going into next season (as of today). Here's some simplistic analysis:
Catcher: A.J.: .759 OPS Olivo: .764 OPS (based on his MLEs) Advantage: While I think they will put up similar numbers, at this point, I think catcher is a small advantage to the Twins (due to the uncertainty of rookies - A.J. is money whereas Olivo has potential. Sandy Alomar as a back-up option is not a good thing). 1B: Mientkiewicz: .754 OPS Konerko: .851 OPS Advantage: I don't care how good Doug M's defence is, advantage, Sox. 2B: Rivas: .692 OPS Jimenez: .677 OPS Advantage: Push - both of them may do better than last season, neither of them is great. SS: Guzman: .677 OPS valentin: .790 OPS Advantage: Tough call. Guzman is so much better defensively than Valentin, that makes up for a big chunk of the difference on offence. Plus, if Guzman rebounds to his 2001 level (.814 OPS), they are actually similar offensive players. I'm calling this a draw. 3B: Koskie: .808 Crede: ??? Advantage: Crede has loads of potential but I've got to call this to the Twins in 2003 (will probably change in 2004 and beyond). Koskie, even in an off year in 2002, is still an excellent third baseman. Crede is still only potential - though his MLEs show he will be a good one. LF: Jones: .853 OPS Lee: .846 OPS Advantage: based solely on offensive numbers, this is a draw. When defense is added into the mix, the advantage has to go to the Twins since Jones is a plus fielder while Lee is awful. CF: Hunter: .855 OPS Borchard: ???? Advantage: Twins. I'm not a huge Borchard fan and Torii is a top 10 player in the AL. RF: Cuddyer: ??? Mags: .973 OPS Advantage: Cuddyer's going to be a good one but Mags is the second best player in the AL this year. It's an insult to his greatness for me to discuss this further. DH: Lecroy/Kielty: Thomas: .832 OPS Advantage: I know many of you wil disagree with me here but I think the Twins DHs will match Thomas this year. I'm calling this a draw. On offence we've got: Twins: 4 Sox: 2 Draw: 3 Starters: Mark Buehrle: 3.58 ERA, 134 Ks-66 BB, 239 IPs Eric Milton: 4.84 ERA, 131 Ks-30 BB, 171 IPs Advantage: While it would not surprise me if Milton had a better season than Buehrle in 2003, for the sake of this post, I think Buehrle has the advantage. Radke: 4.72 ERA, 62 Ks-20 BB, 118 IPs Colon: 2.93 ERA, 149 Ks-70 BB, 233 IPs Advantage: I've mentioned here before, I think there is an EXCELLENT chance that Colon will either be (i) on the DL most of this year or (ii) pitch poorly. That having been said, clear advantage to the Sox. Reed: 3.78 ERA, 121 Ks, 26 B 188 IP Garland: 4.58 ERA, 112 K-83 BB, 192 IP Advantage: Man, Reed had a really good season last year. Who knows if he'll repeat, he doesn't have to be great to be better than Garland. Lohse/Mays/Santana Wright/Rauch Advantage: I'm not going to post all of the stats here. I think the Twins will find 2 starters to fill out their rotation (depending on Mays health) who will be better than anything the Sox can throw out there to round out their rotation. I hope they will end up using Santana and Lohse (I'm not a big Mays believer) but they have very good depth. I'm not a fan of Wright and rauch. So the starters go: Twins: 3 Sox: 2 Bullpens: closer Eddie Guardado closer Billy Koch Advantage: I like Guardado more than koch but I'll call this a draw since both of them are capable (though, I think there is a better chance that Koch will have a poor season than Guardado) setup J.C. Romero lhp setup Damaso Marte lhp Advantage: I really like both of them. A clear pick-em. setup LaTroy Hawkins setup Tom Gordon Advantage: Both guys who could be really good who have some risk, another pick-em. setup Juan Rincon middle Johan Santana/Lohse/Mays middle Jose Cabrera setup Kelly Wunsch middle Rick White middle Matt Ginter Advantage: If Santana is pitching out of the Twins pen, it gives them a huge advantage (though weakens their rotation). I am going to call this yet another draw - some quality arms as middle relief guys go. Maybe this is a cop-out on my part but I think the two teams have very comparable pens and it will depend how guys do this season and how the managers manage the pens. Bench: C Tom Prince OF Bobby Kielty IF Chris Gomez IF Denny Hocking OF Dustan Mohr C Sandy Alomar IF Tony Graffanino UT Willie Harris OF Aaron Rowand OF Armando Rios Advantage: without spending the time to go into any depth, I think the Twins have much better depth and depending on who is playing DH/RF on any given day, they should have some very good bats to use late in games. To sum: Twins: 8 Sox: 4 Draw: 9 Should be an interesting race... |
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01-23-2003, 02:57 PM
Quote:
Tampa Bay Devil Rays vs. the rest of the league: 56-83 |
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