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Matt Watt, Ed Reaven, and Peter Terranova break down the wide receivers.
1.
Randy Moss, NE
- Moss was the clear #1 WR in fantasy last year, breaking the single season
record for TDs. If you're expecting him to repeat last year's numbers,
you'll probably be disappointed. That said, he's the clear #1 WR option
this year, and if you're in the 1st or 2nd round and you
don't like the RBs available you can't go wrong scooping up Randy.
2.
Reggie Wayne, IND - Wayne
has finally supplanted Marvin Harrison as the #1 fantasy receiver in
Indy. He had huge numbers in 2007 and there's no reason to think he won't
repeat. He's easily a Top 3 fantasy receiver.
3.
Terrell Owens, DAL-
Owens was studly in 2k8, hauling in 1,355 yards and 15 TDs, and has topped
1,000 yards in seven of his last eight seasons. Injury and age are factors,
albeit slight ones. Owens hasn't played all 16 games in the last six years and
turns 35 in December. There might not be a safer option at the WR spot.
4.
Braylon Edwards,
CLE - Huge breakout year for Braylon last year. There's some question
as to whether Derek Anderson and the Browns offensive breakout last season was
a fluke. Regardless, Braylon is an extremely gifted athlete, and this
kind of breakout wasn't too surprising. I'm expecting him to put up
similar numbers as last year. Don't be afraid to take him as a top 5 WR.
5.
Larry
Fitzgerald, ARZ - Fitz had a huge 2007 with over 1,400 yards and 10
TDs. He is easily a top 10 receiver for fantasy purposes this year, and
you could make a case for him being top 5. A great combination of size,
speed and hands, don't hesitate to draft Fitz as your first WR.
6.
Chad Johnson, CIN - Ocho Cinco had another
top notch year in 2007 with 1,440 receiving yards and 8 TDs. There's no
reason to not expect similar studly numbers here. He should definitely be
one of the top 10 WRs off of the board and you could make a case for him being
top 5.
7.
TJ
Houshmandzadeh, CIN - According to some, Mr Unpronounceable supplanted Chad
Johnson as the Bengals #1 fantasy WR last year. With 112 catches for
1,143 yards and 12 TDs, he's a legitimate fantasy stud and should be one of the
top 10 WRs off the board. I like Chad a little better this year, but
you can't go wrong with either guy.
8.
Marques Colston,
NO - In 2007 Colston improved on his amazing rookie year with over 1,200
yards and 11 TDs. He's still very young and has great chemistry with Drew
Brees, and the addition of Jeremy Shockey should alleviate double-team pressure
on him. He should be one of the top 10 receivers taken in your fantasy
draft.
9.
Roy Williams,
DET - Entering his 5th NFL season, Williams is more bark than
bite, and he barked again about his role and his unhappiness with the Lions
this past off-season. He had a great 2006, when he gained 1,300 yards with 7
TDs on 82 catches, but last year was a dud, as his performance fell off
drastically after a huge Week 3 (210 yards receiving), and he went
touchdown-less in 8 of his final 9 games before calling it a season in Week 14.
With Calvin Johnson emerging, Mike Martz leaving and talk of the Lions
switching QBs from Jon Kitna to Drew Stanton at some point, Williams has a lot
more baggage than most WR1's should carry.
10. Andre Johnson, HOU - Johnson has always
been a top talent, but has been held back by injuries and inconsistent QB
play. Last year, in only 9 games he had 851 yards and 8 TDs. That
projects into huge numbers over a full season. Now that he has a solid
quarterback in Schaub throwing the ball to him, if he can stay healthy he'll be
in for a huge year. Don't be afraid to draft AJ as a top 10 WR.
11. Anquan Boldin, ARZ - Boldin's overall
numbers were down a bit last year due to injury, but he still has the skills to
be an elite talent. The only question mark here is whether there will be
enough balls to go around between him and Fitz. I expect both receivers
to get theirs. Draft him with confidence as your 2nd WR.
12. Torry Holt, STL - Holt had his 8th
straight season of 1,100 yards or more in 2007. He has dropped out of the
top 5 WRs, but he can still be counted on as a #1 WR on your fantasy team, and
if you get him as your 2nd WR you can expect your WR corps to be in
great shape, especially if Bulger is able to stay healthy.
13.
Plaxico Burress, NYG-
Burress produced a career best 12 touchdowns in 2007 despite a litany of
injuries. He began the season on fire, scoring in each of the first six games
before going dark over the next four games. He was spotty throughout the rest
of the season but overall still produced 1,025 yards. Plax has two consistencies
in his game: 1,000 yards and nagging injuries. He is a very low-end WR1 or
high-end WR2 for your team.
14. Steve Smith, CAR - Smith is one of the
most talented receivers in the league, but had an inconsistent 2007 due to
nagging injuries and poor QB play. Carolina
has suspended him for the team's first 2 games, which knows down his value.
If this causes him to slip in your draft, go after him. Delhomme and
Smith have amazing chemistry, and as long as they're both healthy you can
expect great numbers.
15. Santonio Holmes, PIT - Holmes had very
good overall numbers in 2007, despite missing a few games due to injury.
The scary thing here is that age 24, he may still be improving. I'm
expecting big things in 2008 if he can stay healthy. Once the top WRs are
gone in your draft at WR, look for Holmes. We may be talking about him as
a top WR in 2009.
16. Greg Jennings, GB - Jennings epitomized the "HR hitter" last year
with his remarkable 12 TDs on just 53 grabs. His YPC average jumped from 14.0
as a rookie to 17.2 last year, as he became Brett Favre's main vertical threat.
He was consistent as well, having TDs in all but three regular season games.
The real question for Jennings
is whether Aaron Rodgers can connect with him as well as Favre did.
17. Wes Welker, NE - Welker was finally
able to show what he could do in a real offense last year. While I think
it's a safe bet that all Patriots have their numbers regress a bit after their
insane 2007 campaign, Welker is still going to have a nice bit of value.
If you're in a league that awards points for receptions, you need to be all
over this guy. His great hands and elusiveness helped net him 112 catches
last year, and he's a good bet for 90+ catches again in 2008.
18. Calvin Johnson, DET - the other-worldy
talent from Georgia Tech was counted on by many to be a rare rookie stud, but
it was not to be as CJ battled a nagging back problem which basically derailed
his season. Still, he ended up with 750 yards and 5 TDs, which isn't all that
bad, but many expect "Megatron"to take a giant leap in 2007. He stands the best
chance among WRs of catapulting into the Top 10, so he is a great WR2.
19. Brandon Marshall, DEN -Marshall is facing a potential 3 game
suspension, which knocks down his value. Marshall had a bustout 2007. He's a big
strong receiver who's great after the catch. If he ends up missing the 1st
4 games of the season, I'd still draft him in the middle rounds, stash him away
and use him for your stretch run.
20. Donald Driver, GB - After three
consecutive 1,200+ yard seasons, Driver dipped to 1,048 yards and just 2 TDs as
Greg Jennings became Favre's primary vertical target. Are Driver's days as a
Top 12 WR drawing to a close? Will Rodgers be able to be as effective as Favre?
The 33-year old may be playing on borrowed time, but he still should make for a
good WR3.
21. Roddy White, ATL - 2007 was a huge
season for White, as he reached the 1,200 yard mark despite very inconsistent
QB play. White's previous high in yardage was 506 yards, and we can
expect the Falcon's passing attack to be pretty mediocre overall. That
said, he's only 26, and the Falcon's QB situation can't be any worse than it
was last year. White's a good guy to pull the trigger on in the middle
rounds as a 2nd or 3rd receiver on your fantasy squad.
22. Marvin Harrison, IND
- Harrison is a sure-fire hall of famer and
has been consistently a top fantasy WR. 2007 is the first time Harrison hasn't put up top flight numbers, because of
injuries. At age 35, he's not a great bet to regain his top form, but he still
has a chance to be a solid fantasy contributor. Don't waste an early pick
on him, but if he's around in the middle rounds he's a good gamble in a still
potent Colts offense.
23. Dwayne Bowe, KC - Out of nowhere, Bowe
had a very good 2007 season for the Chiefs, finishing just shy of 1,000 yards.
At only 23 years old, there's no reason to expect a decline and he
could potentially improve on last year. The downside is that the lack of
a true #2 WR on KC could lead to double teams on Bowe. I see him as a top
25 WR, who you should look to draft as your 2nd or 3rd
WR.
24. Joey Galloway, TB - Galloway
has over 1,000 yards in all of his last 3 seasons, but at age 36 he's bound to
start declining soon. Still, he's not a bad option as your 3rd
receiver if he lasts that long in drafts.
25. Chris Chambers, SD - Chambers is a guy
that always seemed to be held back by mediocre Dolphins offenses. In San Diego, he has a
chance to really shine. He had some inconsistent games last year, but
ended up just shy of 1,000 yards. He's not a top fantasy option at WR,
but he's worth looking at as your 3rd WR.
26. Bobby Engram, SEA - In 2007 Engram
showed that he could carry the load as the Seahawks #1 receiver as he caught 94
balls for 1,147 yards. There are going to be a lot of flashier options
available at your draft, but Engram should continue to be Hasselbeck's #1
target which will warrant a pick as a 2nd or 3rd WR on
your fantasy squad.
27. Bernard Berrian, MIN - the big play
threat takes his act to Chicago's
rival to become Tarvaris Jackson's main target. Berrian is talented, but like Chicago, Minnesota
figures to be seriously inconsistent through the air due more to the QB than
the receivers, and so he should toss in a few gems among a sea of clunkers.
He's better suited to be a WR4, but you could do worse with your WR3.
28.
Kevin Curtis, PHI-
After four seasons as the slot receiver in St. Louis, Curtis was given his
chance to be a starter by the Eagles and responded with a career best season of
77 catches for 1,110 yards and six scores. Curtis was the epitome of ‘feast or
famine' in 2k8: Curtis put up a monster 221 yard game with three scores against
the Lions, but in his 12 of his games, Curtis only averaged 48 yards and never
scored. Don't be misled by these solid
numbers. Curtis is a WR3 on your squad and nothing more.
29. Lee Evans, BUF - Evans had a
spectacular 2006, but followed it up with a very mediocre 2007. He's got
a ton of speed and great hands so he's always a threat catch the deep
ball. He didn't show much chemistry with new Bills starting QB Trent
Edwards last year, so expect another inconsistent year from him. He still
has enough talent and upside that he's worth a gamble in the middle rounds of
your fantasy draft
30. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ - Cotchery is a
deceptively strong receiver who is tough to take down in the open field.
The last 2 years he had exactly 82 catches and last year he broke the 1,000
yard mark. I think you can expect more of the same in 2008, and
potentially even more improvement from the talented 26 year old.
31. Derrick Mason, BAL - Mason had a solid
2007 with over 1,000 yards. Throughout Mason's career he's always had
great chemistry with Steve McNair and the two have put up some great
numbers. McNair is now out of the picture in Baltimore and with Mason being a year older
I'm expecting his numbers to be down in 2008. In fact, they could
potentially go way down, depending on how that offense is able to click.
He's worth a shot late in drafts, but don't bank on another 1,000 yard season.
32. Laveraneus Coles, NYJ - Coles' 2007
numbers may not look great, but his season was cut short because of an ankle
injury. If he shows that he's healthy in camp, he could be a nice sleeper
mid round pick. Just 2 years ago he had 91 catches for over 1000 yards.
He's only 30 years old and still has enough left in the tank to be a solid
fantasy option.
33. Hines Ward, PIT - Known as one of the
toughest receivers in the league, Ward had an injury plagued 2007. He's
also starting to get up there in age, which makes his ligament injuries even
more of a concern. When healthy, he's great, strong receiver and a good
red zone threat. For fantasy purposes, he's a mid-round pick as a once
top notch receiver who may be on the decline.
34.
Santana
Moss, WAS- Moss is no longer the huge fantasy football factor he once was. Moss
caught 61 passes for 808 yards last year but his touchdown totals fell to three
- his lowest since his rookie year in 2001. Averaging 50 yards a game isn't anyone's
idea of a primary receiver. When you factor in Moss is learning a new offense,
the Redskins drafted two receivers and Moss has never really been in sync with
quarterback Jason Campbell to begin with, there isn't much to like about Moss'
2k8 season.
35.
Reggie Brown, PHI-
Brown was picked by many to be a big-time breakout candidate for 2k7. After
scoring eight times and gaining 816 yards on 46 catches in 2006, Brown saw an
increased workload last season with 61 receptions but gained only 780 yards and
scored just four times. His yards per catch declined from 17.7 down to just
12.8. Brown needs to avoid the slow start this year but could provide a mild
surprise for those that have lowered their expectations too much from last
year. Remember - during the final four weeks of the 2007 season, when Donovan
McNabb returned from injury, it was Brown putting up the bigger numbers, not
Kevin Curtis.
36. Vincent Jackson, SD - Jackson was touted as a great sleeper last
year, but never really did much to impress - until the post-season. Does
he continue the dominating skills he showed then, or does he revert back to the
WR who disappeared for games at a clip? Hedge by making him your WR4.
37. DJ Hackett, CAR - Hackett puts up the
stats when he's healthy, but so far he hasn't proven that to be one of his
talents. He could make an impact in the season's first two games, as Steve
Smith is suspended, so he's a prime sleeper for the 2008 season.
38. Nate Burleson, SEA - Burleson has some
talent, but has been very inconsistent throughout his career. His 60
catch 594 yard performance last year isn't anything to get excited about, even
with Deion Branch potentially missing half the season or more.
39. Isaac Bruce, SF - Isaac Bruce is the
49ers #1 WR? While he's better than whomever they had last year, that's
all you really need to know. He's 35 years old and coming off of a
mediocre year in 2007, and now is moving to a team that looks like a complete
mess. Don't spend anything more than a late round flier on him.
40. Mushin Muhammad, CAR - The last time Muhammad
played for Carolina
he had over 1,400 yards receiving and 12 touchdowns. At age 35, and after
3 down years in Chicago
we can't expect numbers like those in 2008, but expect a nice bounce-back year
from him. He'll probably slip to the later rounds in your draft, and
where he's a good player to gamble on.
41. Anthony Gonzalez, IND
- Gonzalez was inconsistent in Harrison's
absence, but he's still very young and learning the ropes. He's a nice
pick with upside in the late rounds.
42.
Patrick Crayton, DAL-
Crayton enjoyed a career best season when he took the #2 spot in place of Terry
Glenn. While he turned in 50 catches for 697 yards and seven touchdowns, he was
too inconsistent to be considered for use as a fantasy starter. The Cowboys
aren't likely to use Crayton as their flanker all season so draft Crayton as a
backup only with upside.
43. Donte Stallworth, CLE - Stallworth's
numbers were somewhat mediocre last year as a Patriot, mainly because he was
behind Moss and Welker. He's always a bit of an injury risk, but he has a
chance to put up some nice numbers in a potent Browns offense. He's worth
a look as a mid-to-late round pick with upside.
44. Kevin Walter, HOU - Mini-breakout for
Walter who had 800 receiving yards, when his previous high mark was 211.
But it's unlikely that he'll have much fantasy value this year. He's a
late round flier at best, but even in the late rounds you should be able to
find someone with more upside.
45. Sidney Rice, MIN - Rice and Berrian
make for a pretty talented duo with a huge amount of upside, but their statistical
output unfortunately will depend more on Tarvaris Jackson's ability to throw
the ball. Draft Rice as your WR5 and
consider any positives gravy.
46. Ted Ginn Jr., MIA - The Miami Dolphins
WR situation is a complete mess. Ginn Jr looks like their #1 at the
moment. Ginn is a nice talent, but he just doesn't have the experience to
be a #1 receiver, especially on a team that will probably be very inconsistent
at the QB position. If you feel like you need to gamble on a Dolphins WR,
Ginn is your guy, but I wouldn't take him until the late stages of your
draft.
47. Ronald Curry, OAK - Curry showed
flashes of brilliance last year, but was also very inconsistent. I don't
expect great QB play out of Oakland
and that makes Curry nothing more than a late round flier.
48. Devin Hester, CHI - The Bears are so feeble
at wide receiver that Devin Hester, who only played a few games at the position
last year after switching from CB, may very well be their #1 option. The speed
and elusiveness is there, of course; are the hands and route running? If he's
worked on that, could he become this year's Greg Jennings?
49. Marty Booker, CHI - Booker played in a
similarly inept offense last year in Miami, so
he should fit right in during his return to Chicago. Booker is an over-the-middle receiver
who gains few yards and scores fewer TDs, so he's not a great fantasy option.
He'll also likely go undrafted.
50.
Steve Smith, NYG-
Smith only had eight catches for 63 yards on the season but he started getting
playing time at the end of the year and then in the playoffs, he caught a total
of 14 passes for 152 yards and was a major factor. Expect him to assume the
slot role this year and to be first in line to replace Amani Toomer. Smith is a
good keeper but unless there are injuries, he likely will not make an impact in
2K8.
51. Darrell Jackson, DEN - Jackson has always been an elusive receiver
who is good at getting open. His hands have always been a question mark
however. He struggled as a 49er, but he has nice tools and should be
worth a late round pick, especially with Brandon Marshall's suspension.
52. James Jones, GB - after a big training
camp, Jones had a solid rookie campaign but didn't quite make the big splash
many thought he might, thanks to Greg Jennings' breakout year. He ended with
676 yards on 47 catches, and likely will begin to eat away at Donald Driver's
totals if Aaron Rodgers can be an effective thrower. He's a good WR5 with
upside, and has more value in keeper leagues.
53. James Hardy, BUF - Hardy was the Bills
2nd round pick and the first WR taken in the 2008 NFL draft.
He has great size and speed. For fantasy purposes, rookie receivers
paired up with inconsistent QBs is rarely a recipe for fantasy success.
That said, Hardy has the tools to be successful and may be worth a late round flier
in fantasy drafts
54. Shaun McDonald, DET - McDonald was Mike
Martz' pet project, but as Martz has moved his tack to San Francisco, McDonald may find himself as a
one-season wonder. He should still have some value at points during the 2008
season, but he'll likely go undrafted in all but the deepest leagues.
55.
Devin
Thomas, WAS- Thomas was the second receiver the Redskins drafted this year.
The former Michigan
State star set a school
record with 79 catches for 1,260 yards and eight touchdowns in 2007. He also
served as a kickoff returner as well. At 6'2" and 218 pounds, he has
prototypical size for a #1 wideout and has great natural receiving skills. He's
a definite training camp watch and should be the first rookie wideout drafted
in both redraft and dynasty leagues. Thomas will be the #1 receiver in Washington by year's
end.
56.
Amani Toomer, NYG-
Toomer enters his 14th NFL season and showed he still has skills, hauling in 59
catches for 760 yards and three scores. Another positive factor for Toomer was
that he played in all 16 games. That said, Toomer is no more than bye-week
filler at this stage in his career.
57. Brandon Lloyd, CHI - Ever since Lloyd's
infamous "duck over the middle" from a few years ago, his value has seemingly
gone down the crapper. He was lost in Washington's
receiving corps last year, but if there was ever a chance to stand out, it's in
the Bears weak group. Still, he'll probably go undrafted in most leagues.
58. Mike Furrey, DET - Mike Furrey was
Shaun McDonald before Shaun McDonald became Shaun McDonald. Got that? Furrey,
who converted from DB to WR, has a banner year in 2006 but was eerily quiet in
2007. With offensive coordinator Mike Martz gone
59. Javon Walker, OAK - Latest news on Walker is that his bum
knee hasn't improved much and he's considering retirement. Avoid.
60. Jordy Nelson, GB - Nelson is a big
possession receiver and is being geared to be the Packers' answer to the Wes
Welker/Kevin Curtis types. The chances are slim that happens in 2008, however,
so Nelson should likely go undrafted.
61.
Antwaan Randle El, WAS-
Randle El had arthroscopic surgery in the offseason to remove some floating
cartilage but is expected to be ready for training camp. He comes off his
career best season with 51 catches for 728 yards but only one touchdown. The
Skins drafted Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly with high draft picks and both
would likely make a better flanker with better size and possession ability.
Randle El was never meant to go over the middle as the west coast offense -- being
installed this year-- so often requires.
The rookies both should compete for that spot and it is likely that sometime
during the season, Randle El will give way to Thomas or Kelly and assume the
slot. He's never had much fantasy value and his 2007 season may prove to be his
career high.
62.
Sam Hurd, DAL - In two
seasons, Hurd has only produced 24 catches for 389 yards and one score. Nothing
to see here.
63. Jerry Porter, JAX - Porter is probably
the only WR worth drafting in a run-heavy Jacksonville
offense. He's coming off of surgery and has been very inconsistent
throughout his career, so don't draft him until you get to the later rounds.
64.
Jason Avant, PHI-
Avant was the most productive non-starter from the Philly wideouts last year
but still only managed 23 catches for 267 yards and two scores. If one of the
starters are injured, Avant is the most likely to see increased playing time.
65. Drew Bennett, STL - Bennett had very
poor numbers in 2007. He was hindered a bit by a hamstring injury, has
bad hands, but if he's healthy there's some upside here - after all, he does
start for the Rams. He's worth a late round flier in your fantasy drafts.
66.
DeSean Jackson, PHI-
The Eagles selected the CAL
speedster with the 2.18 pick in the draft this year and he brings in an
immediate threat in the return game. While he ran a 4.38/40 at the NFL combine,
Jackson is only
5'10" and 166 pounds. He was the "Devin Hester" of the PAC-10 and most teams
just would not punt or kick to him since he returned four punts for a touchdown
and one on a kickoff. He is small, very fast and great in open field, but he still
will not help your fantasy football team this season.
67.
Sinorice
Moss, NYG- Moss was given the slot role last year but he did not do much
with it. He recorded 21 catches for 225 yards but only had 10.7 yards per catch
for a player that is supposedly all about downfield speed. He also never
scored. As always, he was injured last year as well and seemingly can never
stay healthy. The rookie Steve Smith was much more impressive than Moss last year
and should push Sinorice down to #4 on the depth chart if not lower. Moss just
cannot stay healthy and has yet to display both speed while actually catching a
ball.
68. Ike Hilliard, TB - Hilliard is listed
as Tampa Bay's #2 receiver. He had a few
nice games last year, but he's never been much of a contributor in
fantasy. Avoid him.
69. Malcolm Kelly,
WAS- At 6'4" and 219 pounds, Kelly has the
size and hands of a prototypical NFL wideout. However, he did not work out at
the combine and instead was only available at the Oklahoma University Pro Day.
Then he showed up overweight at 227 pounds and only ran a 4.6/40 on Astroturf.
He also complained about OU afterwards. It all left a bad feeling for scouts.
Given the fact that OU doesn't produce good NFL receivers, Kelly is nothing
more than a keeper stash at this point.
70. Mark Clayton, BAL - Clayton has great
raw talent, and showed some flashes in 2007 but still hasn't put it all
together. He's nothing more than a late round flier for fantasy purposes.
71. Justin Gage, TEN - Gage doesn't seem
like a guy who's a true #1 receiver, and he may struggle against the top
cornerbacks in the league. Still, Vince Young's got to throw the ball to
someone. Consider Gage a late rounder.
72. Justin McCareins, TEN - See Justin Gage.
The Titans WR corps are a mess. McCareins is late round flier material at
best
73. Laurent Robinson, ATL - Robinson is
currently penciled in as the Falcons #2 receiver. He has good speed and
some upside, but it seems unlikely that a #2 receiver for Atlanta will have much value in
fantasy. Avoid.
74. David Patten, NO - Patten had some big
games last year but overall was too inconsistent to be counted on in
fantasy. He's a player to avoid in your drafts.
75. Bryant Johnson, SF - Johnson was buried
in Arizona behind
the supremely talented Fitzgerald and Boldin. But when Fitz and Boldin
missed time, Johnson never really stepped up, despite being a former 1st
round pick. Johnson has a little bit of upside, and is probably a better
gamble than Bruce, but he's still nothing more than a late round flier for your
fantasy team.
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