2K8: Wide Receivers Print E-mail
Written by Matt Watt   
Friday, 08 August 2008
Matt Watt, Ed Reaven, and Peter Terranova break down the wide receivers.

 

1.      Randy Moss, NE - Moss was the clear #1 WR in fantasy last year, breaking the single season record for TDs.  If you're expecting him to repeat last year's numbers, you'll probably be disappointed.  That said, he's the clear #1 WR option this year, and if you're in the 1st or 2nd round and you don't like the RBs available you can't go wrong scooping up Randy.

 

2.      Reggie Wayne, IND - Wayne has finally supplanted Marvin Harrison as the #1 fantasy receiver in Indy.  He had huge numbers in 2007 and there's no reason to think he won't repeat.  He's easily a Top 3 fantasy receiver.

 

3.      Terrell Owens, DAL- Owens was studly in 2k8, hauling in 1,355 yards and 15 TDs, and has topped 1,000 yards in seven of his last eight seasons. Injury and age are factors, albeit slight ones. Owens hasn't played all 16 games in the last six years and turns 35 in December. There might not be a safer option at the WR spot.

 

4.      Braylon Edwards, CLE - Huge breakout year for Braylon last year.  There's some question as to whether Derek Anderson and the Browns offensive breakout last season was a fluke.  Regardless, Braylon is an extremely gifted athlete, and this kind of breakout wasn't too surprising.  I'm expecting him to put up similar numbers as last year.  Don't be afraid to take him as a top 5 WR.

 

5.      Larry Fitzgerald, ARZ - Fitz had a huge 2007 with over 1,400 yards and 10 TDs.  He is easily a top 10 receiver for fantasy purposes this year, and you could make a case for him being top 5.  A great combination of size, speed and hands, don't hesitate to draft Fitz as your first WR.

 

6.      Chad Johnson, CIN - Ocho Cinco had another top notch year in 2007 with 1,440 receiving yards and 8 TDs.  There's no reason to not expect similar studly numbers here.  He should definitely be one of the top 10 WRs off of the board and you could make a case for him being top 5.

 

7.      TJ Houshmandzadeh, CIN - According to some, Mr Unpronounceable supplanted Chad Johnson as the Bengals #1 fantasy WR last year.  With 112 catches for 1,143 yards and 12 TDs, he's a legitimate fantasy stud and should be one of the top 10 WRs off the board.  I like Chad a little better this year, but you can't go wrong with either guy.

 

8.      Marques Colston, NO - In 2007 Colston improved on his amazing rookie year with over 1,200 yards and 11 TDs.  He's still very young and has great chemistry with Drew Brees, and the addition of Jeremy Shockey should alleviate double-team pressure on him.  He should be one of the top 10 receivers taken in your fantasy draft.

 

9.      Roy Williams, DET - Entering his 5th NFL season, Williams is more bark than bite, and he barked again about his role and his unhappiness with the Lions this past off-season. He had a great 2006, when he gained 1,300 yards with 7 TDs on 82 catches, but last year was a dud, as his performance fell off drastically after a huge Week 3 (210 yards receiving), and he went touchdown-less in 8 of his final 9 games before calling it a season in Week 14. With Calvin Johnson emerging, Mike Martz leaving and talk of the Lions switching QBs from Jon Kitna to Drew Stanton at some point, Williams has a lot more baggage than most WR1's should carry.

 

10.  Andre Johnson, HOU - Johnson has always been a top talent, but has been held back by injuries and inconsistent QB play.  Last year, in only 9 games he had 851 yards and 8 TDs.  That projects into huge numbers over a full season.  Now that he has a solid quarterback in Schaub throwing the ball to him, if he can stay healthy he'll be in for a huge year.  Don't be afraid to draft AJ as a top 10 WR.

 

11.  Anquan Boldin, ARZ - Boldin's overall numbers were down a bit last year due to injury, but he still has the skills to be an elite talent.  The only question mark here is whether there will be enough balls to go around between him and Fitz.  I expect both receivers to get theirs.  Draft him with confidence as your 2nd WR.

 

12.  Torry Holt, STL - Holt had his 8th straight season of 1,100 yards or more in 2007.  He has dropped out of the top 5 WRs, but he can still be counted on as a #1 WR on your fantasy team, and if you get him as your 2nd WR you can expect your WR corps to be in great shape, especially if Bulger is able to stay healthy.

 

13.  Plaxico Burress, NYG- Burress produced a career best 12 touchdowns in 2007 despite a litany of injuries. He began the season on fire, scoring in each of the first six games before going dark over the next four games. He was spotty throughout the rest of the season but overall still produced 1,025 yards. Plax has two consistencies in his game: 1,000 yards and nagging injuries. He is a very low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 for your team.

 

14.  Steve Smith, CAR - Smith is one of the most talented receivers in the league, but had an inconsistent 2007 due to nagging injuries and poor QB play.  Carolina has suspended him for the team's first 2 games, which knows down his value.  If this causes him to slip in your draft, go after him.  Delhomme and Smith have amazing chemistry, and as long as they're both healthy you can expect great numbers.

 

15.  Santonio Holmes, PIT - Holmes had very good overall numbers in 2007, despite missing a few games due to injury.  The scary thing here is that age 24, he may still be improving.  I'm expecting big things in 2008 if he can stay healthy.  Once the top WRs are gone in your draft at WR, look for Holmes.  We may be talking about him as a top WR in 2009.

 

16.  Greg Jennings, GB - Jennings epitomized the "HR hitter" last year with his remarkable 12 TDs on just 53 grabs. His YPC average jumped from 14.0 as a rookie to 17.2 last year, as he became Brett Favre's main vertical threat. He was consistent as well, having TDs in all but three regular season games. The real question for Jennings is whether Aaron Rodgers can connect with him as well as Favre did.

 

17.  Wes Welker, NE - Welker was finally able to show what he could do in a real offense last year.  While I think it's a safe bet that all Patriots have their numbers regress a bit after their insane 2007 campaign, Welker is still going to have a nice bit of value.  If you're in a league that awards points for receptions, you need to be all over this guy.  His great hands and elusiveness helped net him 112 catches last year, and he's a good bet for 90+ catches again in 2008.

 

18.  Calvin Johnson, DET - the other-worldy talent from Georgia Tech was counted on by many to be a rare rookie stud, but it was not to be as CJ battled a nagging back problem which basically derailed his season. Still, he ended up with 750 yards and 5 TDs, which isn't all that bad, but many expect "Megatron"to take a giant leap in 2007. He stands the best chance among WRs of catapulting into the Top 10, so he is a great WR2.

 

19.  Brandon Marshall, DEN -Marshall is facing a potential 3 game suspension, which knocks down his value.  Marshall had a bustout 2007.  He's a big strong receiver who's great after the catch.  If he ends up missing the 1st 4 games of the season, I'd still draft him in the middle rounds, stash him away and use him for your stretch run.

 

20.  Donald Driver, GB - After three consecutive 1,200+ yard seasons, Driver dipped to 1,048 yards and just 2 TDs as Greg Jennings became Favre's primary vertical target. Are Driver's days as a Top 12 WR drawing to a close? Will Rodgers be able to be as effective as Favre? The 33-year old may be playing on borrowed time, but he still should make for a good WR3.

 

21.  Roddy White, ATL - 2007 was a huge season for White, as he reached the 1,200 yard mark despite very inconsistent QB play.  White's previous high in yardage was 506 yards, and we can expect the Falcon's passing attack to be pretty mediocre overall.  That said, he's only 26, and the Falcon's QB situation can't be any worse than it was last year.  White's a good guy to pull the trigger on in the middle rounds as a 2nd or 3rd receiver on your fantasy squad.

 

22.  Marvin Harrison, IND - Harrison is a sure-fire hall of famer and has been consistently a top fantasy WR.  2007 is the first time Harrison hasn't put up top flight numbers, because of injuries.  At age 35, he's not a great bet to regain his top form, but he still has a chance to be a solid fantasy contributor.  Don't waste an early pick on him, but if he's around in the middle rounds he's a good gamble in a still potent Colts offense.

 

23.  Dwayne Bowe, KC - Out of nowhere, Bowe had a very good 2007 season for the Chiefs, finishing just shy of 1,000 yards.   At only 23 years old, there's no reason to expect a decline and he could potentially improve on last year.  The downside is that the lack of a true #2 WR on KC could lead to double teams on Bowe.  I see him as a top 25 WR, who you should look to draft as your 2nd or 3rd WR.

 

24.  Joey Galloway, TB - Galloway has over 1,000 yards in all of his last 3 seasons, but at age 36 he's bound to start declining soon.  Still, he's not a bad option as your 3rd receiver if he lasts that long in drafts.

 

 

25.  Chris Chambers, SD - Chambers is a guy that always seemed to be held back by mediocre Dolphins offenses.  In San Diego, he has a chance to really shine.  He had some inconsistent games last year, but ended up just shy of 1,000 yards.  He's not a top fantasy option at WR, but he's worth looking at as your 3rd WR.

 

26.  Bobby Engram, SEA - In 2007 Engram showed that he could carry the load as the Seahawks #1 receiver as he caught 94 balls for 1,147 yards.  There are going to be a lot of flashier options available at your draft, but Engram should continue to be Hasselbeck's #1 target which will warrant a pick as a 2nd or 3rd WR on your fantasy squad.

 

27.  Bernard Berrian, MIN - the big play threat takes his act to Chicago's rival to become Tarvaris Jackson's main target. Berrian is talented, but like Chicago, Minnesota figures to be seriously inconsistent through the air due more to the QB than the receivers, and so he should toss in a few gems among a sea of clunkers. He's better suited to be a WR4, but you could do worse with your WR3.

 

28.  Kevin Curtis, PHI- After four seasons as the slot receiver in St. Louis, Curtis was given his chance to be a starter by the Eagles and responded with a career best season of 77 catches for 1,110 yards and six scores. Curtis was the epitome of ‘feast or famine' in 2k8: Curtis put up a monster 221 yard game with three scores against the Lions, but in his 12 of his games, Curtis only averaged 48 yards and never scored.  Don't be misled by these solid numbers. Curtis is a WR3 on your squad and nothing more.

 

29.  Lee Evans, BUF - Evans had a spectacular 2006, but followed it up with a very mediocre 2007.  He's got a ton of speed and great hands so he's always a threat catch the deep ball.  He didn't show much chemistry with new Bills starting QB Trent Edwards last year, so expect another inconsistent year from him.  He still has enough talent and upside that he's worth a gamble in the middle rounds of your fantasy draft

 

30.  Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ - Cotchery is a deceptively strong receiver who is tough to take down in the open field.  The last 2 years he had exactly 82 catches and last year he broke the 1,000 yard mark.  I think you can expect more of the same in 2008, and potentially even more improvement from the talented 26 year old.

 

31.  Derrick Mason, BAL - Mason had a solid 2007 with over 1,000 yards.  Throughout Mason's career he's always had great chemistry with Steve McNair and the two have put up some great numbers.  McNair is now out of the picture in Baltimore and with Mason being a year older I'm expecting his numbers to be down in 2008.  In fact, they could potentially go way down, depending on how that offense is able to click.  He's worth a shot late in drafts, but don't bank on another 1,000 yard season.

 

32.  Laveraneus Coles, NYJ - Coles' 2007 numbers may not look great, but his season was cut short because of an ankle injury.  If he shows that he's healthy in camp, he could be a nice sleeper mid round pick.  Just 2 years ago he had 91 catches for over 1000 yards.  He's only 30 years old and still has enough left in the tank to be a solid fantasy option.

 

33.  Hines Ward, PIT - Known as one of the toughest receivers in the league, Ward had an injury plagued 2007.  He's also starting to get up there in age, which makes his ligament injuries even more of a concern.  When healthy, he's great, strong receiver and a good red zone threat.  For fantasy purposes, he's a mid-round pick as a once top notch receiver who may be on the decline.

 

34.  Santana Moss, WAS- Moss is no longer the huge fantasy football factor he once was. Moss caught 61 passes for 808 yards last year but his touchdown totals fell to three - his lowest since his rookie year in 2001. Averaging 50 yards a game isn't anyone's idea of a primary receiver. When you factor in Moss is learning a new offense, the Redskins drafted two receivers and Moss has never really been in sync with quarterback Jason Campbell to begin with, there isn't much to like about Moss' 2k8 season.

 

35.  Reggie Brown, PHI- Brown was picked by many to be a big-time breakout candidate for 2k7. After scoring eight times and gaining 816 yards on 46 catches in 2006, Brown saw an increased workload last season with 61 receptions but gained only 780 yards and scored just four times. His yards per catch declined from 17.7 down to just 12.8. Brown needs to avoid the slow start this year but could provide a mild surprise for those that have lowered their expectations too much from last year. Remember - during the final four weeks of the 2007 season, when Donovan McNabb returned from injury, it was Brown putting up the bigger numbers, not Kevin Curtis.

 

36.  Vincent Jackson, SD - Jackson was touted as a great sleeper last year, but never really did much to impress - until the post-season.  Does he continue the dominating skills he showed then, or does he revert back to the WR who disappeared for games at a clip? Hedge by making him your WR4.

 

37.  DJ Hackett, CAR - Hackett puts up the stats when he's healthy, but so far he hasn't proven that to be one of his talents. He could make an impact in the season's first two games, as Steve Smith is suspended, so he's a prime sleeper for the 2008 season.

 

38.  Nate Burleson, SEA - Burleson has some talent, but has been very inconsistent throughout his career.  His 60 catch 594 yard performance last year isn't anything to get excited about, even with Deion Branch potentially missing half the season or more.

 

39.  Isaac Bruce, SF - Isaac Bruce is the 49ers #1 WR?  While he's better than whomever they had last year, that's all you really need to know.  He's 35 years old and coming off of a mediocre year in 2007, and now is moving to a team that looks like a complete mess.  Don't spend anything more than a late round flier on him.

 

40.  Mushin Muhammad, CAR - The last time Muhammad played for Carolina he had over 1,400 yards receiving and 12 touchdowns.  At age 35, and after 3 down years in Chicago we can't expect numbers like those in 2008, but expect a nice bounce-back year from him.  He'll probably slip to the later rounds in your draft, and where he's a good player to gamble on. 

 

41.  Anthony Gonzalez, IND - Gonzalez was inconsistent in Harrison's absence, but he's still very young and learning the ropes.  He's a nice pick with upside in the late rounds.

 

42.  Patrick Crayton, DAL- Crayton enjoyed a career best season when he took the #2 spot in place of Terry Glenn. While he turned in 50 catches for 697 yards and seven touchdowns, he was too inconsistent to be considered for use as a fantasy starter. The Cowboys aren't likely to use Crayton as their flanker all season so draft Crayton as a backup only with upside.

 

43.  Donte Stallworth, CLE - Stallworth's numbers were somewhat mediocre last year as a Patriot, mainly because he was behind Moss and Welker.  He's always a bit of an injury risk, but he has a chance to put up some nice numbers in a potent Browns offense.  He's worth a look as a mid-to-late round pick with upside.

 

44.  Kevin Walter, HOU - Mini-breakout for Walter who had 800 receiving yards, when his previous high mark was 211.  But it's unlikely that he'll have much fantasy value this year.  He's a late round flier at best, but even in the late rounds you should be able to find someone with more upside.

 

45.  Sidney Rice, MIN - Rice and Berrian make for a pretty talented duo with a huge amount of upside, but their statistical output unfortunately will depend more on Tarvaris Jackson's ability to throw the ball.  Draft Rice as your WR5 and consider any positives gravy.

 

46.  Ted Ginn Jr., MIA - The Miami Dolphins WR situation is a complete mess.  Ginn Jr looks like their #1 at the moment.  Ginn is a nice talent, but he just doesn't have the experience to be a #1 receiver, especially on a team that will probably be very inconsistent at the QB position.  If you feel like you need to gamble on a Dolphins WR, Ginn is your guy, but I wouldn't take him until the late stages of your draft. 

 

47.  Ronald Curry, OAK - Curry showed flashes of brilliance last year, but was also very inconsistent.  I don't expect great QB play out of Oakland and that makes Curry nothing more than a late round flier.

 

48.  Devin Hester, CHI - The Bears are so feeble at wide receiver that Devin Hester, who only played a few games at the position last year after switching from CB, may very well be their #1 option. The speed and elusiveness is there, of course; are the hands and route running? If he's worked on that, could he become this year's Greg Jennings?

 

49.  Marty Booker, CHI - Booker played in a similarly inept offense last year in Miami, so he should fit right in during his return to Chicago. Booker is an over-the-middle receiver who gains few yards and scores fewer TDs, so he's not a great fantasy option. He'll also likely go undrafted.

 

50.  Steve Smith, NYG- Smith only had eight catches for 63 yards on the season but he started getting playing time at the end of the year and then in the playoffs, he caught a total of 14 passes for 152 yards and was a major factor. Expect him to assume the slot role this year and to be first in line to replace Amani Toomer. Smith is a good keeper but unless there are injuries, he likely will not make an impact in 2K8.

 

51.  Darrell Jackson, DEN - Jackson has always been an elusive receiver who is good at getting open.  His hands have always been a question mark however.  He struggled as a 49er, but he has nice tools and should be worth a late round pick, especially with Brandon Marshall's suspension.

 

52.  James Jones, GB - after a big training camp, Jones had a solid rookie campaign but didn't quite make the big splash many thought he might, thanks to Greg Jennings' breakout year. He ended with 676 yards on 47 catches, and likely will begin to eat away at Donald Driver's totals if Aaron Rodgers can be an effective thrower. He's a good WR5 with upside, and has more value in keeper leagues.

 

53.  James Hardy, BUF - Hardy was the Bills 2nd round pick and the first WR taken in the 2008 NFL draft.  He has great size and speed.  For fantasy purposes, rookie receivers paired up with inconsistent QBs is rarely a recipe for fantasy success.  That said, Hardy has the tools to be successful and may be worth a late round flier in fantasy drafts 

 

54.  Shaun McDonald, DET - McDonald was Mike Martz' pet project, but as Martz has moved his tack to San Francisco, McDonald may find himself as a one-season wonder. He should still have some value at points during the 2008 season, but he'll likely go undrafted in all but the deepest leagues.

 

55.  Devin Thomas, WAS- Thomas was the second receiver the Redskins drafted this year. The former Michigan State star set a school record with 79 catches for 1,260 yards and eight touchdowns in 2007. He also served as a kickoff returner as well. At 6'2" and 218 pounds, he has prototypical size for a #1 wideout and has great natural receiving skills. He's a definite training camp watch and should be the first rookie wideout drafted in both redraft and dynasty leagues. Thomas will be the #1 receiver in Washington by year's end.

 

56.  Amani Toomer, NYG- Toomer enters his 14th NFL season and showed he still has skills, hauling in 59 catches for 760 yards and three scores. Another positive factor for Toomer was that he played in all 16 games. That said, Toomer is no more than bye-week filler at this stage in his career.   

 

57.  Brandon Lloyd, CHI - Ever since Lloyd's infamous "duck over the middle" from a few years ago, his value has seemingly gone down the crapper. He was lost in Washington's receiving corps last year, but if there was ever a chance to stand out, it's in the Bears weak group. Still, he'll probably go undrafted in most leagues.

 

58.  Mike Furrey, DET - Mike Furrey was Shaun McDonald before Shaun McDonald became Shaun McDonald. Got that? Furrey, who converted from DB to WR, has a banner year in 2006 but was eerily quiet in 2007. With offensive coordinator Mike Martz gone

 

59.  Javon Walker, OAK - Latest news on Walker is that his bum knee hasn't improved much and he's considering retirement.  Avoid.

 

60.  Jordy Nelson, GB - Nelson is a big possession receiver and is being geared to be the Packers' answer to the Wes Welker/Kevin Curtis types. The chances are slim that happens in 2008, however, so Nelson should likely go undrafted.

 

61.  Antwaan Randle El, WAS- Randle El had arthroscopic surgery in the offseason to remove some floating cartilage but is expected to be ready for training camp. He comes off his career best season with 51 catches for 728 yards but only one touchdown. The Skins drafted Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly with high draft picks and both would likely make a better flanker with better size and possession ability. Randle El was never meant to go over the middle as the west coast offense -- being installed this year--  so often requires. The rookies both should compete for that spot and it is likely that sometime during the season, Randle El will give way to Thomas or Kelly and assume the slot. He's never had much fantasy value and his 2007 season may prove to be his career high.

 

62.  Sam Hurd, DAL - In two seasons, Hurd has only produced 24 catches for 389 yards and one score. Nothing to see here.

 

63.  Jerry Porter, JAX - Porter is probably the only WR worth drafting in a run-heavy Jacksonville offense.  He's coming off of surgery and has been very inconsistent throughout his career, so don't draft him until you get to the later rounds.

 

64.  Jason Avant, PHI- Avant was the most productive non-starter from the Philly wideouts last year but still only managed 23 catches for 267 yards and two scores. If one of the starters are injured, Avant is the most likely to see increased playing time.

 

65.  Drew Bennett, STL - Bennett had very poor numbers in 2007.  He was hindered a bit by a hamstring injury, has bad hands, but if he's healthy there's some upside here - after all, he does start for the Rams.  He's worth a late round flier in your fantasy drafts.

 

66.  DeSean Jackson, PHI- The Eagles selected the CAL speedster with the 2.18 pick in the draft this year and he brings in an immediate threat in the return game. While he ran a 4.38/40 at the NFL combine, Jackson is only 5'10" and 166 pounds. He was the "Devin Hester" of the PAC-10 and most teams just would not punt or kick to him since he returned four punts for a touchdown and one on a kickoff. He is small, very fast and great in open field, but he still will not help your fantasy football team this season.

 

67.  Sinorice Moss, NYG- Moss was given the slot role last year but he did not do much with it. He recorded 21 catches for 225 yards but only had 10.7 yards per catch for a player that is supposedly all about downfield speed. He also never scored. As always, he was injured last year as well and seemingly can never stay healthy. The rookie Steve Smith was much more impressive than Moss last year and should push Sinorice down to #4 on the depth chart if not lower. Moss just cannot stay healthy and has yet to display both speed while actually catching a ball.

 

68.  Ike Hilliard, TB - Hilliard is listed as Tampa Bay's #2 receiver.  He had a few nice games last year, but he's never been much of a contributor in fantasy.  Avoid him.

 

69.  Malcolm Kelly, WAS- At 6'4" and 219 pounds, Kelly has the size and hands of a prototypical NFL wideout. However, he did not work out at the combine and instead was only available at the Oklahoma University Pro Day. Then he showed up overweight at 227 pounds and only ran a 4.6/40 on Astroturf. He also complained about OU afterwards. It all left a bad feeling for scouts. Given the fact that OU doesn't produce good NFL receivers, Kelly is nothing more than a keeper stash at this point.

70.  Mark Clayton, BAL - Clayton has great raw talent, and showed some flashes in 2007 but still hasn't put it all together.  He's nothing more than a late round flier for fantasy purposes.

 

71.  Justin Gage, TEN - Gage doesn't seem like a guy who's a true #1 receiver, and he may struggle against the top cornerbacks in the league.  Still, Vince Young's got to throw the ball to someone.  Consider Gage a late rounder.

 

72.  Justin McCareins, TEN - See Justin Gage.  The Titans WR corps are a mess.  McCareins is late round flier material at best

 

73.  Laurent Robinson, ATL - Robinson is currently penciled in as the Falcons #2 receiver.  He has good speed and some upside, but it seems unlikely that a #2 receiver for Atlanta will have much value in fantasy.  Avoid.

 

74.  David Patten, NO - Patten had some big games last year but overall was too inconsistent to be counted on in fantasy.  He's a player to avoid in your drafts.

 

75.  Bryant Johnson, SF - Johnson was buried in Arizona behind the supremely talented Fitzgerald and Boldin.  But when Fitz and Boldin missed time, Johnson never really stepped up, despite being a former 1st round pick.  Johnson has a little bit of upside, and is probably a better gamble than Bruce, but he's still nothing more than a late round flier for your fantasy team.


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