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Ed Reaven gives you a healthy list of do's and don'ts for your upcoming drafts.
DON’T draft a QB with your 1st round pick, except in
leagues that start more than one QB. But if you must, make sure his name is
spelled B-R-A-D-Y. But even that is a sucker’s bet.
DON’T go RB-RB this
year in the first two rounds of your draft. This is the deepest draft in recent
memory for RBs, so going RB-WR makes much more sense this year than any year in
the last decade.
DON’T waste your time
drafting rookie WRs late in your draft, unless it’s a keeper/dynasty league. In
the last 10 years, only Anquan Boldin in 2003 emerged as a Top 10 WR as a
rookie, and only TB’s Michael Clayton joined him in the Top 20 (in 2004).
DON’T even think about
drafting a kicker until the last few rounds of your draft (that means you too,
Papa Deuce!)
DON’T select a defense
anywhere in the draft’s 1st 8 rounds. The success rate is usually
very low, and many defenses do not perform up to their projections. And don’t
even think of keeping a defense in leagues that allow keepers.
DON’T draft
more than 3 QBs with the hope of dealing one away. Unless you absorb some major
bad luck and actually need your #3, chances are that player won’t have any
value until very late in the season.
DON’T draft
3 RBs in the first 5 rounds of your draft. Remember, that player is a pure
backup and will only play two weeks tops if injuries pass over your
team. Having a solid backup RB is essential, but the first six rounds of your
draft are to take your starters. Take your backup RB in rounds 7 through 9.
DON’T be
afraid to draft unexciting veterans, such as TB’s Joey Galloway and Jeff Garcia
or SF’s Isaac Bruce. They’re still productive and can be had for a song.
DO load
up on running backs late in your draft. Most may not pan out, but who would’ve
thunk Justin Fargas, Earnest Graham or Ryan Grant had any value either last
pre-season. Piling up multiple QBs or defenses just doesn’t make sense.
DO make
sure to examine special teams units when ranking fantasy defenses. While Chicago’s defense may be
on the decline, Devin Hester makes it worth the price of admission alone.
DO draft
lesser talented players on great offenses over more talented players on bad
offenses. Just take a look at Buffalo’s
Lee Evans miserable 2007 to understand why.
DO look at Yards per
Catch, Yards per Carry and Yards per Attempt averages, but don’t weigh them too
heavily. They vary from year to year, but some players stay in a relatively
consistent zone and you can make a solid call on them. A RB with a few years
under 4.0 YPC; a WR with a few years under 12.0 YPC; and a QB with a few years
under 7.0 TPA should be cause for concern.
DO draft RBs who
catches passes over ones who do not every chance you get. That trait stays
relatively consistent and one dimensional backs are much more inconsistent. And
if they have a bad year, look out below. Just ask Rudi Johnson owners who
drafted him in last year’s 1st round.
DO take
a chance on a rookie RB, perhaps even more than one. The learning curve for
rookie backs is much easier than it is for WRs or QBs. Many talented rookie
rushers entered the league this year, so the crop is plentiful.
DO draft one of the
Top 5 Quarterbacks in 2008 (Brady, Manning, Romo, Brees, Palmer) – but aim for
the 3rd through 5th QB. They represent fantastic value
this year.
DO take
a chance on veteran QBs who are in starting roles for the first time – they’re
a solid gamble. A QB like GB’s Aaron Rodgers knows the system after 4 solid
years as a backup. He’s a great breakout candidate.
DO look
at the state of offensive lines before your draft. A bad offensive line can
wreak havoc for your players (i.e. Larry Johnson, Steven Jackson). It’s a very
important, yet often overlooked, step when drafting your team.
The Rotojunkie Football Fix is available on a donation
basis this year, and all proceeds will be donated to charity! We will
leave the donation amount up to you and let you put a dollar value on
the work provided but 100% of the proceeds will be evenly divided between the Autism Speaks organization and the Robert B. Reaven Fund at the American Diabetes Association.
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