Brian Johnson ranks the linebacker for the IDP leaguers
Patrick Willis, SF
With 137 solo stops in his rookie campaign
last year, Willis emerged as simply the best IDP in any fantasy format. Playing
in a 3-4 front may scare some away, but Willis proved them wrong. But keep in
mind that last year’s boffo numbers will be tough to duplicate. Expect a slight
decline in numbers but Willis is a lock to finish in the top-5. 110 solo
tackles-5 sacks- 1 INT
David Harris, NYJ
Harris didn’t start until Week 8 last year but
still managed 90 solo tackles. Jonathan Vilma tanked with the Jets in this same
position two years ago, so there is some reason for skepticism going into this
year, whether Harris’ numbers last year are for real or not. While the Jets did
upgrade the defense in the offseason, the team will still be bad so even with a
drop off, Harris is still likely top-5. 103-4-1
DeMeco Ryans, HOU
Ryans was slowed a bit late in the season by a
knee injury, but he is now healthy. He has produced studly numbers the past two
years and there is little reason to think it will stop now. Willis and Ryans
should be the first two of the Top 3 players chosen in any IDP league. 105-2-1
Brian Urlacher, CHI
Urlacher’s tackles have been trending downward
over the past three seasons while his injuries (back and neck) have been
trending upward, and that is not a good sign. At age 30, Urlacher may very well
be on the downside of his career. Just entering the Top-5 should be his ceiling
this year. There is also talk of Urlacher holding out going into camp, so watch
closely. 92-4-2
London
Fletcher, WAS
Fletcher has finished in the top-10 in the
past six seasons, making him one of the most consistent performers on the
defensive side of the ball (not to mention he hasn’t missed a game in 9 years!).
With no major changes on defense for Washington
coming into this season, there is no reason to think Fletcher won’t continue to
rack up tackles. 100-1-2
Kirk Morrison, OAK
The Raiders stink but Morrison doesn’t. He has
finished in the top-10 the past two years while manning the middle. His 10
passes defended and 4 INTs last year might be an indicator that his playmaking
skills are on the rise. He can definitely make a legit claim to a top-5 spot
this year. 98-1-2
Will Witherspoon, STL
He was good in Carolina
and is even better in St. Louis.
He likely won’t repeat 7 sacks (considering he hadn’t had over 3 going into
last season) but 90+ solo tackles is nothing to sneeze at. His numbers may
fluctuate since the Rams figure to be better on both sides of the ball this
year but top-15 is a near certainty. 93-2-2
Nick Barnett, GB
After a down year in 2006 (61 solos), Barnett
rebounded with 102 solos last season. Outside of the 2006 season, Barnett is
always around the 90 solo tackle range and there is little reason to think it
drops off this year. 92-2-2
Jon Beason, CAR
If rookie Dan Conner impresses in preaseason,
Beason might be moved to the weakside, which would cut into his value. However,
if he remains in the MLB slot all year, 95+ solo’s are not out of the question.
Monitor this situation closely in preseason. 97-1-1
Keith Bulluck, TEN
Bulluck was hampered by knee and thigh injures
last year but still played all 16 games, which resulted in his solo tackle
number plummeting to a mere 68. The big question: is 70 solo tackles his new
norm or does he rebound to his previous self (top-5 finish and 100 solo
tackles)? Based on his track record (finishing in the top-5 from 2001-2006),
bet on the latter. 90-2-2
Paul Posluszny, BUF
Over the past six seasons, the Bills’ MLB slot
has averaged 94 solo stops per season during this span. Posluszny suffered a
broken arm in week 3 last year and missed the rest of the season. In a
seemingly golden situation, if Posluszny can stay healthy (no certainty), he
will be productive. 95-1-1
E.J. Henderson, MIN
Henderson’s
solo numbers have jumped by 20 solo’s per year for the past 2 seasons, to the
point where he ended the 2007 season with 95 solo tackles. The addition of
Jared Allen to an already stout defensive line will continue to lift Henderson into rarified
air. A top-10 finish is certainly not out of the question. 92-2-1
Karlos Dansby, ARZ
Has yet to play all 16 games in a season but he’s
playing on a one-year contract, so one would think he’ll be as motivated as
ever heading into the 2008 season. Despite the change to a 3-4 last year,
Dansby was still productive. A good guy to gamble on come draft day: hope he’ll
play a full schedule but know he likely won’t. 82-4-2
Lance Briggs,CHI
He missed 2 games with a groin injury last
year but is one of the best OLBs in the business. With Urlacher seemingly
breaking down physically more often, consider Briggs a safer and better option
of the two at this point. 94-1-1
Barrett Ruud, TB
A nagging knee injury limited him somewhat in
2007 but he still had 83 solo tackles. If healthy, 90+ tackles are a virtual
lock. 90-1-2
Lofa Tatupu, SEA
He’s averaged 87 solo stops of the past three
years and is one of the more consistent IDP options. A top-12 finish would seem
to be within reason. 86-2-2
Ernie Sims, DET
A virtual lock to finish in the top-25 due to
the Tampa-2 defense the Lions use and the fact the Lions stink. He’s one of the
better MLB linebackers in the league. A few more big plays and Sims could sneak
into the top-10. 92-1-1
Ray Lewis, BAL
He hasn’t played a full 16-game schedule since
2003 (taking into account the 2005 season where he only played 7 games) and he
is 33 years old. He is still very solid when healthy but is no longer at the
elite level. Draft him expecting 14 games, and anything more is gravy. 84-2-2
Jonathan Vilma, NO
There are many questions that will be answered this
season for Vilma:
is he healthy? He is supposedly on schedule
after off-season reconstructive knee surgery.
how much of the poor play with the Jets the
past two seasons was related to the Jets 3-4 scheme and how much of it was
related to Vilma ? It would be unfair to lump Vilma’s struggles entirely to the
3-4. The Saints play a 4-3 with talented defenders on the defensive line so
Vilma should have lots of room to roam in New
Orleans.
If healthy, he returns to his normal high
level of play. 90-0-1
Antonio Pierce, NYG
A sprained ankle in the second half of the
season contributed to Pierce having only 77 solos stops. He was especially
disappointing considering his 109 solo tackle season in 2006. Pierce always
seems to be around the 80 solo tackle range (he had 87 in 2004 and 80 in 2005
but contributes little in the sacks and interception columns) but even taking
that into account, he has a real shot at top-15 this year. 87-1-1
Mike Peterson, JAX
Last year, he was on pace for 97 solo stops
before a broken hand sidelined him. The big problem is he has now missed 17
games over the past two seasons with hand and pectoral injuries. If you draft
Peterson, you should also draft teammate Justin Durant as a handcuff. What are
the odds Peterson gets injured and misses significant time again? Do you really
want to find out? 80-2-2
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